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� �]"� �]tuYuĕEGQ�TWt�wg@DG��:��~ϭ��g���:�[uoUwW��{�=�FY�RĠ���e+m�ɷ��G�6s��Eܸ����Ȕ�W\&?a�% �܃�n��E-���V"d�"�y��WϾ�T�!��S��0g����|jA��}�s`���\�Ѝ�G�,��I���OC��p�tĝ7��-�~t������t'�/�f��Y�?8����,Zx�e-y���{hעKf-zf�� Bk���D����Azͽ�*�Fa�LG� ��c DCX�J������[�FcG6�HAr��Y�:��������{��B��n��f���(�E��*AI�FT��P�� 2000! EIA-Short-Term Energy Outlook ... million b/d in 2016 and 8.2 million b/d in 2017, both unchanged from last month's STEO. Heating and cooling Hydroelectricity in 2012 is on the decline, producing 14 percent less electricity through the first 7 months of this year compared to last year. Prices (including effect of shale gas supplies) EIA forecasts U.S. regular gasoline retail prices to average $2.33/gal in 2016. source: EIA STEO (September 2020) estimates Global oil demand has outstripped supply in Q3 2020 per EIA In Q3 2020, oil demand among OECD economies fell by 4.7 million barrels per day, compared with 2.4 mb/d among Non-OECD economies per EIA SUN DAY CAMPAIGN. The Disclaimer: Energy Tidbits is intended to provide general information only and is written for an institutional or sophisticated investor audience. 3 ethanol production last week was the lowest in 177 weeks.10 EIA expects 2019 ethanol production to fall from 2018 levels—the first annual decrease in nine years.11 Similarly, your Agency’s own data show domestic ethanol production in anuary -August 2019 <>>> BOEM/MMS Gulf of Mexico annual oil production 1947-2015! EIA lease cond Fed offs.! In the latest STEO, EIA also forecasts Brent crude spot prices should average $53/bbl in 2021 and 2022, compared with an average of $42 in 2020. The EIA’s STEO was published on May 9, 2017. Therefore, variables such as heating and cooling degree days are also heavily used in the forecasts. Note: EIA calculations based on National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) data. 1950! 200! endobj 1940! v. cowpaSTUre rIver preServaTIon aSSocIaTIon eT al., Respondents. 1960! <> The monthly EIA & annual STEO forecasts display a bumpy production, difficult to extrapolate 0! Source: EIA STEO, Barclays, DW Analysis $350 bn 7% of supply $2,500 bn 93% of supply * GDP of Germany is $3.5 trn, Italy $2.0 trn World Liquids Production Growth, 2005-2013, Oct-Dec averages, excludes OPEC NGLs . In EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook(STEO), released December 7, 2010, EIA forecast that natural gas marketed production will have increased in 2010 by … /Filter /FlateDecode The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) October 2020 Short—Term Energy Outlook (STEO) report, indicates that oil markets remain stable with ample inventories. Through the first 7 months of 2012 hydroelectricity produced 30 billion kilowatt hours less electricity than through the first 7 months of 2011. ... Download latest PDF … 3 0 obj stream Renewable generation reached large gains in 2011, but that increase was due to a very good hydroelectric year. 2010! MPUC Agenda Meeting . oil fed GOM EIA! /Length 25908 1990! STEO Current/Previous Forecast Comparisons: U.S. Energy Supply and Demand Summary 2020 2021 2022 Year Growth Rate Current Forecast: March 9, 2021; Previous Forecast: February 9, 2021 600! EIA expectstotal U.S.coalproductionin2020to be 511millionshorttons ( MMst) , 194 The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) forecast for Brent crude oil spot price, which averaged $108 per barrel during the first half of 2013, averages $109 per barrel over the second half of 2013 and $102 per barrel in 2014, $5 per barrel and $2 per barrel higher than forecast in last month’s STEO, respectively. EIA expects electricity consumption in 2021 will be similar to 2020.1 Wholesale Electricity Futures Market . projected total residential energy expenditures for low-income households by primary heating fuel $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 northeast 2001 $1,490 $1,577 $1,161 2004 $1,354 $1,907 $1,139 2005 $1,413 $2,133 $1,152 49261_Ltrhd.indd 1 6/11/08 12:44:09 AM Nos. U.S. Energy Information Administration | Short-Term Energy Outlook March 2021 1 Note: EIA completed modeling and analysis for this report on Thursday March 4, 2021 March 2021 Short-Term Energy Outlook Forecast highlights Global liquid fuels • The March Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) remains subject to heightened levels of Click to access steo_full.pdf. aTlanTIc coaST pIpelIne, llc, Petitioner. The impact of Covid is clear, with reduced energy use in 2020. Discussion Outline . EIA expects the electric powersector will add 23.3gigawatts ( ) ofnewwind capacity and 13.7GW utility-scale solar capacity in 2020. Outlook for 2011-2012 . The U.S. already was a net exporter of coal, natural gas and natural gas liquids, and EIA projected the U.S. to become a net exporter of total energy (including oil) in 2019 EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook in November confirmed the finding per API’s estimates in the September Monthly Statistical Report EIA estimates Net imports Net exports EIA expects monthly gasoline prices to decline to an average of $2.06/gal in December 2015. Mb! September—August prices were down about 27 percent compared to 1 year prior. 300! EIA has some information that would be useful during a gasoline price spike in California • Weekly data – Retail gasoline and diesel prices every Monday, usually by 2 or 3 pm PT source: ornl tabulation based on eia steo and recs millions of dollars. 19 Demand-Constrained Models … The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects OPEC crude oil production will average 25.3 million barrels per day (b/d) in April, which is similar to expected production for March and down 1.6 million b/d from EIA’s forecast for April OPEC production in last month’s STEO. Source: EIA Short -Term Energy Outlook, October 2018. %���� The Energy Policy Act of 2005 this Note will argue that a multifaceted approach, providing clear objectives and a sound strategy, should be adopted to combat these pressing issues. 1 September 2020 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) at … %PDF-1.7 2) Energy Overview ‐‐Doug MacIntyre, Energy Information Administration 3) Energy Disruption Scenarios Energy Data and Analysis – Stephen Floga, Argonne National Laboratory 4) Energy Disruption Tracking Systems, Energy Assurance Planning, and Grant Management ‐‐Jeff Pillon, NASEO @~�^��ډ|pw�L�>�|lV��NU%̧�iY� u�ڐ�����W�6g���@!�~ҥ�21�H���,��T���*�H��n(�I�S�#%4��(6�yz��Ǟ;�U��Fq5r{��a��� n1s�fg6^&�V�/���/W����K9[6����Ey�/z��<2�*��`r�,�\OL>�����8���x�;��܂?x$���$�]P0�7�u�We1��L�s�W� ���`�X�]ՏpK7�����V�x�y�jQnE������[.oh�_`#��/0é��Y V���).�.��k��J ~�6�}���d]�5�V�AY[�\4�)��zC��*K�P���|܀�\�hc%sdv;�Df0�8���Y�r�]��M�ߎ֠�ho�T�k��� k�^� 0M \���W�;E�D�`�,�E� ��p�xR������K�R�E�g��e��(�(�N�١i6Zx3����"1*��PP�J. %PDF-1.5 << Jean Laherrere 2016! Understanding Errors in EIA Projections of Energy Demand Carolyn Fischer, Evan Herrnstadt, and Richard Morgenstern Abstract This paper investigates the potential for systematic errors in the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) widely used Annual Energy Outlook, focusing on the near- to midterm projections of energy demand. 1 0 obj EIA forecasts residential sector retailsales will increase by 3.5 percent in 2020driven by higher summer cooling and increased working from home. The EIA estimates that Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development >> In the latest issue of its "Short-Term Energy Outlook" (STEO), the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has finally acknowledged that "U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions will rise by 3.0% in 2018." U.S. Energy Information Administration | Short-Term Energy Outlook February 2021 1 Note: EIA completed modeling and analysis for this report on Thursday February 4, 2021 February 2021 Short-Term Energy Outlook Forecast highlights Global liquid fuels • The February Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) remains subject to heightened levels of uncertainty because responses to COVID-19 continue … Thursday, November 10, 2011, 1:30 pm . EIA says 2021 is looking much better. ��Xe��^|�%�4���V��q�����p[��M#ɟ ��3��L��g�d��UidD�����X�(u����_ao_�q��͗��?�x�R�CX&Y�E6w�i������q�������o������?��A�s����Z%w��f�۵�� I�UE��~M���K�*�&B�ȦC�N�̈4��i� 0X���Qg-GG;�Nn �600p)ȄN�9��"�g0SG����/�欍;�p�F��i�A EIA’s October 2015 Short-term Energy Outlook (STEO) projects calendar year WTI prices of $49.53 per barrel for 2015 and $53.57 per barrel for 2016 (EIA, 2015b), compared to $55.51 per barrel for 2015 and $62.04 per barrel for 2016 from crude oil prices projected in July 2015’s STEO. 4 0 obj stream 6 0 obj The chart above assumes World commercial petroleum stocks are 5200 million barrels in Dec 2011, days of demand is total stock divided by the current month’s actual or forecasted demand (after Jan 2017). x�̼y|U�?|��}������zO/Ig'�@ 1970! Natural Gas Discussion Item . EIA estimates that total U.S. crude oil production declined by 40,000 barrels per day (b/d) in October compared with September. to the March STEO, which was published before the pandemic hit, the EIA’s 2020 ethanol production forecast has been reduced by 2.1 BG, and its 2021 forecast has been reduced by 0.4 BG. In April 2020, the U.S. Energy Information Association (EIA) released its April Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) which documents the broad impacts of the coronavirus pandemic on the energy sector, including annual plunges in energy-related carbon emissions, electricity demand, and production of U.S. crude oil and natural gas. 100! appraisal’s models are from EIA forecasts drawn from their Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). 500! endobj oil ! 2 0 obj NASEO-EIA 2018-19 Winter Energy Outlook Webinar October 10, 2018. The dashed lines indicate each month’s prior 10- year average for October 2008– March 2018. EIA forecaststhatrenewable energy will be the fastest-growingsource of electricity generation in 2020. EIA FINALLY ACKNOWLEDGES U.S. CO2 EMISSIONS TO RISE 3% IN 2018 CONTRADICTING REPEATED CLAIMS BY TRUMP ADMINISTRATION OFFICIALS THAT EMISSIONS ARE DECLINING Contact: Ken Bossong, 301-270-6477 x.6 Washington DC – In the latest issue of its “Short-Term Energy Outlook” (STEO), the U.S. Energy Information Administration … a. 18-1584 & 18-1587 In The Supreme Court of the United States U.S. ForeST ServIce, eT al., Petitioners. /Length1 7 0 R 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Million Cubic Feet Ohio Dry Natural Gas Production Figure 2: Ohio Dry Natural … 7 0 obj 39788 <> condensate ! Energy supply and demand is often dependent upon weather -related variables. 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EIA-3 Quarterly Survey of Industrial, Commercial & Institutional Coal Users (30-35 data elements, 1.25 hour) EIA-8A Annual Survey of Coal Stocks and Coal Exports (20 data elements, 1 hour) EIA-923 Power Plant Operations Report (40 data elements, 2.4 hours) EIA-846 Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey (number of questions 1. <>/XObject<>/ProcSet[/PDF/Text/ImageB/ImageC/ImageI] >>/Annots[ 23 0 R] /MediaBox[ 0 0 612 792] /Contents 4 0 R/Group<>/Tabs/S/StructParents 0>> T��P5�A���C}Q?4 BMh0�����0t6��A#�(ԌF�s�yh,�ƣ h����h&��B��Eh��桋�|� �-D�P+�]�.C��+Е�*t5Z,���_���'(��(����'���C����o� i�9�Ϳ�ߗ?�?�ߟ��W��E�������]�ޟߞߝگ�_B��=�����-���_ͷ�7���z[�O�����ч�����p����|ۑ�����^�g�ya`f� B����'T"��\g>Oޅ��߅�X��Km�⑅-��p�v�{��E��t�`�b0�QZ�y�ʏ�)�� �h ��ߢ�1A>U��n�! endobj x��\[o�H�~�������i6��d��8q2Y��g�^�C��L[�d��V]��.�黺�n�E#޾=}�4�bYވ��盦��������)|s��U,��ǧׯ���]�O�,�5[��|V�����$�=��L|^���>��o��=~U4@X����x7?If7s�;�n]��l��eL�1'�n�s=�/��{�������$R�����+��r3�h҆�m��p� Gk�Hː�z~bf�dq�Iܹ�m<6p�U���>�N�%���>?��?��(-��]3�ɢt�vMc#� oil +condensate MMS! I assume in the chart above that OPEC crude output is 32 Mb/d in the last three quarters of 2017. Projected West Texas year! 2020! endobj 1980! %���� EIA estimates that crude oil production for May 2016 averaged 8.7 million b/d, which is more than 0.2 million b/d below the April 2016 level, and